{"id":1167,"date":"2024-11-13T17:38:06","date_gmt":"2024-11-13T17:38:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/11\/13\/didejantis-izdo-pajamingumas-kelia-abejoniu-del-dar-vieno-fed-palukanu-normos-sumazinimo\/"},"modified":"2024-11-13T17:38:06","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T17:38:06","slug":"didejantis-izdo-pajamingumas-kelia-abejoniu-del-dar-vieno-fed-palukanu-normos-sumazinimo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/11\/13\/didejantis-izdo-pajamingumas-kelia-abejoniu-del-dar-vieno-fed-palukanu-normos-sumazinimo\/","title":{"rendered":"Did\u0117jantis i\u017edo pajamingumas kelia abejoni\u0173 d\u0117l dar vieno Fed pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos suma\u017einimo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Fed fond\u0173 ateities sandoriai vis dar link\u0119 \u012f l\u016bkes\u010dius, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas suma\u017eins savo tikslin\u0119 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0105 ketvirtadaliu punkto, ta\u010diau su tuo susij\u0119s prognoz\u0117s pasitik\u0117jimas krenta.<\/p>\n<p>Remiantis CME grup\u0117s duomenimis, dabartin\u0117 numanoma kito pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos suma\u017einimo tikimyb\u0117 \u0161\u012f ryt\u0105 yra ma\u017edaug 59%. L\u016bkes\u010diai, kad gruod\u017eio 18 d. vyksian\u010diame FOMC pos\u0117dyje bus daugiau su\u0161velninimo perspektyv\u0173, nuo Donaldo Trumpo pergal\u0117s rinkimuose nuolat ma\u017e\u0117jo. Dar penktadien\u012f numanoma pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos suma\u017einimo tikimyb\u0117 buvo 71%.<\/p>\n<p>Kitas \u017eenklas, kad minia nerimauja d\u0117l galimyb\u0117s papildomai suma\u017einti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas: politikos po\u017ei\u016briu jautrus 2 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumas ir toliau auga. \u0160is pla\u010diai sekamas pajamingumas, kuris laikomas pavyzd\u017eiu trumpalaik\u0117s pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos perspektyvai, antradien\u012f (lapkri\u010dio 12 d.) \u0161oktel\u0117jo iki 4,34%, o tai yra did\u017eiausias nuo liepos pabaigos.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><\/figure>\n<p>Pa\u017eym\u0117tina, kad skirtumas tarp didesn\u0117s vidutin\u0117s efektyvios Fed fond\u0173 tikslin\u0117s normos, at\u0117mus 2 met\u0173 pajamingum\u0105, suma\u017e\u0117jo iki \u201324 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173, ty ma\u017eiausio skirtumo per daugiau nei metus. Pasekm\u0117: i\u017edo rinkos perspektyvos dar labiau suma\u017einti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas bl\u0117sta.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ff.2yr.spread2.2024-11-13.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23134\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ff.2yr.spread2.2024-11-13.png 600w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ff.2yr.spread2.2024-11-13-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/ff.2yr.spread2.2024-11-13-500x375.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>Donaldo Trumpo i\u0161rinkimas yra pagrindinis veiksnys, kei\u010diantis pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimo skai\u010diavim\u0105, kur\u012f lemia po\u017ei\u016bris, kad naujojo prezidento ekonominiai prioritetai gali b\u016bti infliaciniai. Visapusi\u0161k\u0173 importo muit\u0173 ir milijon\u0173 darbuotoj\u0173 imigrant\u0173 deportavimo derinys suk\u0117l\u0117 susir\u016bpinim\u0105, kad 2025 m. gali atgimti kain\u0173 spaudimas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eTarif\u0173 klausimas kelia susir\u016bpinim\u0105, nes tai pardavimo mokestis\u201c, \u2013 sako Davidas Kotokas, investicij\u0173 valdymo \u012fmon\u0117s \u201eCumberland Advisors\u201c \u012fk\u016br\u0117jas ir vyriausiasis investicij\u0173 pareig\u016bnas. \u201eTarifai daromi vykdomuoju \u012fsakymu. Kongresas seniai suteik\u0117 \u012fgaliojimus prezidentui. Jie nesiruo\u0161ia jo atsiimti ir joks prezidentas jo nepasiduot\u0173 be kovos.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomistas ir buv\u0119s i\u017edo sekretorius kelia abejoni\u0173 d\u0117l papildom\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimo \u0161iuo metu i\u0161minties. \u201eMano nuomone, Fed ir rinkos vis dar ne\u012fvertina perkaitimo rizikos\u201c, \u2013 sako jis. \u201eKlausiu sav\u0119s: kod\u0117l tarif\u0173 ma\u017einimas yra prioritetas \u0161ioje aplinkoje? <\/p>\n<p>Jei FED sustabdo pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos ma\u017einim\u0105, kas paskatint\u0173 pasikeitim\u0105? Mineapolio federalinio atsarg\u0173 banko prezidentas Neelis Ka\u0161karis atsako: \u201eJei infliacija stebins iki tol, tai gali pad\u0117ti mums pristabdyti\u201c, \u2013 ai\u0161kina jis. Ta\u010diau \u201esunku b\u016bt\u0173 \u012fsivaizduoti, kad nuo dabar iki gruod\u017eio m\u0117nesio darbo rinka tikrai \u012fkais. Tiesiog n\u0117ra tiek daug laiko\u201c.<\/p>\n<p><!-- Link Wrapper --><br \/><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 910px; height: auto;\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/NZ5iv25.png\" alt=\"Paspaud\u017eiamas vaizdas\"\/><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/rising-treasury-yields-raise-doubts-about-another-fed-rate-cut\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed fond\u0173 ateities sandoriai vis dar link\u0119 \u012f l\u016bkes\u010dius, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas suma\u017eins savo tikslin\u0119 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0105 ketvirtadaliu punkto, ta\u010diau su tuo susij\u0119s prognoz\u0117s pasitik\u0117jimas krenta. Remiantis CME grup\u0117s duomenimis, dabartin\u0117 numanoma kito pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos suma\u017einimo tikimyb\u0117 \u0161\u012f ryt\u0105 yra ma\u017edaug 59%. L\u016bkes\u010diai, kad gruod\u017eio 18 d. vyksian\u010diame FOMC pos\u0117dyje bus daugiau su\u0161velninimo perspektyv\u0173, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1168,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1934,17,376,1933,427,345,682,505,1637,459,506,1935],"class_list":["post-1167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-abejoniu","tag-dar","tag-del","tag-didejantis","tag-fed","tag-izdo","tag-kelia","tag-normos","tag-pajamingumas","tag-palukanu","tag-sumazinimo","tag-vieno"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1167\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}