{"id":1803,"date":"2025-01-16T18:41:27","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T18:41:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2025\/01\/16\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2025-m-sausio-16-d\/"},"modified":"2025-01-16T18:41:27","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T18:41:27","slug":"10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2025-m-sausio-16-d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2025\/01\/16\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2025-m-sausio-16-d\/","title":{"rendered":"10 met\u0173 JAV i\u017edo pajamingumo \u201etikroji vert\u0117\u201c \u012fvertinimas: 2025 m. sausio 16 d."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Rinkos priemoka u\u017e JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingum\u0105 suma\u017e\u0117jo gruod\u012f po dviej\u0173 m\u0117nesi\u0173 i\u0161 eil\u0117s kilimo. Analiz\u0117je naudojamas \u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimas, apskai\u010diuotas CapitalSpectator.com. Nepaisant poslinkio \u017eemyn, rinka ir toliau vertina 10 met\u0173 pajamingum\u0105 palyginti auk\u0161tu lygiu, palyginti su prie\u0161pandeminiu laikotarpiu.<\/p>\n<p>Dabartin\u0117 rinkos priemoka vir\u0161 vidutin\u0117s tikrosios vert\u0117s (remiantis trij\u0173 modeli\u0173 vidurkiu) pra\u0117jus\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f suma\u017e\u0117jo iki 81 bazinio punkto, o tai \u0161iek tiek vir\u0161ija vidutin\u0119 pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 premij\u0105.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><\/figure>\n<p>Padid\u0117jusi rinkos premija, palyginti su vidutiniu tikrosios vert\u0117s \u012fver\u010diu, sutampa su pastaruoju metu nerimaujan\u010diu susir\u016bpinimu d\u0117l \u201eklimpan\u010dios\u201c infliacijos ir netikrumo d\u0117l to, kaip b\u016bsimos Trumpo administracijos planuojami politikos poky\u010diai paveiks kain\u0173 spaudim\u0105 2025 m.<\/p>\n<p>Vakar gruod\u017eio m\u0117nesio ataskaitoje apie JAV vartotoj\u0173 infliacij\u0105 buvo pateikti prie\u0161taringi rezultatai. Vartotoj\u0173 indekso pokytis per metus paspart\u0117jo ir paskutin\u012f 2024 m. m\u0117nes\u012f padid\u0117jo 2,9%, palyginti su lygiu prie\u0161 metus. Greitesnis tempas \u017eymi tre\u010di\u0105 m\u0117nes\u012f i\u0161 eil\u0117s, kai vartotoj\u0173 kain\u0173 indeksas antra\u0161t\u0117s lygiu pakilo. Dabartinis kursas yra did\u017eiausias nuo liepos m\u0117n. Prie\u0161ingai, pagrindinis VKI rodiklis nukrito iki 3,2%, o tai laikosi pastaruoju metu vyravusiame grie\u017etame 3% plius diapazone.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eKai atsitraukite ir pa\u017evelgsite \u012f bendr\u0105 infliacijos b\u016bkl\u0119, mes tikrai niekur nedingsime\u201c, \u2013 sako Sarah House, Wells Fargo vyresnioji ekonomist\u0117. \u201eNors buvo padaryta pa\u017eanga, tempas buvo tikrai nuviliantis.<\/p>\n<p>Rinkos priemoka u\u017e 10 met\u0173 pajamingum\u0105 padid\u0117jo 2022 m., kai i\u0161augo su pandemija susijusi infliacija. Infliacijai ma\u017e\u0117jant, rinkos priemoka suma\u017e\u0117jo, kaip parodyta toliau pateiktoje diagramoje. Ta\u010diau dabartin\u0117 priemoka teb\u0117ra didesn\u0117 u\u017e iki pandemijos buvusias auk\u0161tumas, o tai rodo, kad investuotojai ir toliau nerimauja d\u0117l infliacijos perspektyv\u0173.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"650\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2025-01-16.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2025-01-16.png 650w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2025-01-16-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2025-01-16-500x346.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>Pagrindinis neai\u0161kumas yra tai, kaip ir ar b\u016bsimos Trumpo administracijos politikos poky\u010diai pakeis l\u016bkes\u010dius. Tik\u0117tina, kad tol, kol nebus daugiau pasitik\u0117jimo, kad infliacija priart\u0117s prie FED 2% tikslo, rinka pareikalaus palyginti didel\u0117s pajamingumo priemokos, vir\u0161ijan\u010dios numatyt\u0105 bazin\u0117s normos tikr\u0105j\u0105 vert\u0119.<br \/>\n<!-- Link Wrapper --><\/p>\n<p><!-- Image to display --><br \/><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 910px; height: auto;\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/UtzZwrR.png\" alt=\"Paspaud\u017eiamas vaizdas\"\/><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-us-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate-16-january-2025\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rinkos priemoka u\u017e JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingum\u0105 suma\u017e\u0117jo gruod\u012f po dviej\u0173 m\u0117nesi\u0173 i\u0161 eil\u0117s kilimo. Analiz\u0117je naudojamas \u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimas, apskai\u010diuotas CapitalSpectator.com. Nepaisant poslinkio \u017eemyn, rinka ir toliau vertina 10 met\u0173 pajamingum\u0105 palyginti auk\u0161tu lygiu, palyginti su prie\u0161pandeminiu laikotarpiu. Dabartin\u0117 rinkos priemoka vir\u0161 vidutin\u0117s tikrosios vert\u0117s (remiantis trij\u0173 modeli\u0173 vidurkiu) pra\u0117jus\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f suma\u017e\u0117jo iki [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1804,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[349,345,13,344,346,2908,347,348],"class_list":["post-1803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-ivertinimas","tag-izdo","tag-jav","tag-metu","tag-pajamingumo","tag-sausio","tag-tikroji","tag-verte"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1803","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1803"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1803\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1804"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1803"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1803"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1803"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}