{"id":2231,"date":"2025-05-20T19:43:19","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T19:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2025\/05\/20\/jav-q2-bvp-vis-dar-atrodo-kad-sumazes-po-q1-nuosmukio\/"},"modified":"2025-05-20T19:43:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T19:43:19","slug":"jav-q2-bvp-vis-dar-atrodo-kad-sumazes-po-q1-nuosmukio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2025\/05\/20\/jav-q2-bvp-vis-dar-atrodo-kad-sumazes-po-q1-nuosmukio\/","title":{"rendered":"JAV Q2 BVP vis dar atrodo, kad suma\u017e\u0117s po Q1 nuosmukio"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Remiantis \u201eCapitalspector.com\u201c sudarytais BVP rinkiniu, JAV ekonomin\u0117 produkcija antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f vis dar \u017elugs antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f po nedidelio ketvir\u010dio suma\u017e\u0117jimo.<\/p>\n

Artimiausio laikotarpio ekonomin\u0117s perspektyvos vis dar neai\u0161ki d\u0117l vis dar besikei\u010dian\u010dio tarif\u0173 padarini\u0173, ta\u010diau iki \u0161iol dabartinis ketvir\u010dio profilis atitinka atsigavim\u0105 nuo trupmenos 0,3% skaidri\u0173 BVP, nurodytu Q1. <\/p>\n

\u0160iandienos Q2 NOWCAST yra +1,6%, remiantis mediana. Nors tai suma\u017e\u0117jo nuo m\u016bs\u0173 pradinio \u201eNowcast\u201c anks\u010diau m\u0117nesio, duomenys rodo, kad pirmasis ketvirtis suklups nevir\u0161yti Q2.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Nepaisant \u0161iandienos nuostabaus profilio, vis dar rekomenduojama atlikti teising\u0105 skepticizmo laipsn\u012f. Dar yra antrojo ketvir\u010dio prad\u017eioje, tod\u0117l visas prekybos karo poveikis dar turi sutramdyti \u012f ekonominius skai\u010dius, kuris informuos galutin\u012f BVP \u012fvert\u012f, skirt\u0105 Q2. Nepaisant to, skatinama, kad ankstyvieji vertinimai d\u0117l iki \u0161iol paskelbt\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 at\u0117jo \u012f dabartin\u012f ketvirt\u012f.<\/p>\n

JP Morganas vakar suma\u017eino JAV nuosmukio rizik\u0105, ma\u017eesn\u0119 nei 50%, ir paai\u0161kino, kad neseniai suma\u017e\u0117jusi prekybos \u012ftampa \u201egrei\u010diausiai suma\u017eins\u201c nuosmukio tikimyb\u0119 \u0161iais metais. \u201eNeseniai surengta administracija surinkus kai kuriuos Drakon\u0173 tarifus, pateiktus Kinijai, tur\u0117t\u0173 suma\u017einti rizik\u0105, kad JAV ekonomika \u0161iais metais paslysta \u012f nuosmuk\u012f. Manome, kad nuosmukio rizika vis dar padid\u0117ja, ta\u010diau dabar yra ma\u017eesn\u0117 nei 50%\u201c, – teig\u0117 Michaelas Feroli, vyriausiasis JAV ekonomistas banke.<\/p>\n

JAV verslo ciklo rizikos ataskaita, kuri\u0105 paskelb\u0117 \u201eCapitalSpector.com\u201c, ir toliau \u012fvertino ma\u017e\u0105 tikimyb\u0119, kad JAV nuosmukis prasid\u0117jo ar nei\u0161vengiama.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Ta\u010diau dabartin\u0117je aplinkoje daug kas priklauso nuo to, kaip gali b\u016bti palyginami duomenys – m\u0117nuo, kuris suteiks i\u0161samesn\u012f prekybos sm\u016bgio atspind\u012f. Vyrauja atsargus optimizmas, ta\u010diau dar reikia i\u0161siai\u0161kinti, ar gaunami duomenys kei\u010dia analiz\u0119.<\/p>\n\n

Kaip kei\u010diasi nuosmukio rizika? Steb\u0117kite perspektyv\u0105 naudodamiesi prenumerata:<\/i>
JAV verslo ciklo rizikos ataskaita<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Nuoroda \u012f informacijos \u0161altin\u012f <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Remiantis \u201eCapitalspector.com\u201c sudarytais BVP rinkiniu, JAV ekonomin\u0117 produkcija antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f vis dar \u017elugs antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f po nedidelio ketvir\u010dio suma\u017e\u0117jimo. Artimiausio laikotarpio ekonomin\u0117s perspektyvos vis dar neai\u0161ki d\u0117l vis dar besikei\u010dian\u010dio tarif\u0173 padarini\u0173, ta\u010diau iki \u0161iol dabartinis ketvir\u010dio profilis atitinka atsigavim\u0105 nuo trupmenos 0,3% skaidri\u0173 BVP, nurodytu Q1. \u0160iandienos Q2 NOWCAST yra +1,6%, remiantis mediana. Nors […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2232,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[387,10,17,13,24,478,3268,16],"class_list":["post-2231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-atrodo","tag-bvp","tag-dar","tag-jav","tag-kad","tag-nuosmukio","tag-sumazes","tag-vis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2231"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2231\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2232"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}