{"id":273,"date":"2024-08-15T14:11:36","date_gmt":"2024-08-15T14:11:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/08\/15\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugpjucio-15-d\/"},"modified":"2024-08-15T14:11:36","modified_gmt":"2024-08-15T14:11:36","slug":"10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugpjucio-15-d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/08\/15\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugpjucio-15-d\/","title":{"rendered":"10 met\u0173 JAV i\u017edo pajamingumo \u201etikroji vert\u0117\u201c \u012fvertinimas: 2024 m. rugpj\u016b\u010dio 15 d."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Skirtumas tarp JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumo ir a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate\/\">\u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimas<\/a> apskai\u010diavo CapitalSpectator.com, liep\u0105 toliau ma\u017e\u0117jo. Rinkos kursas vis dar gerokai vir\u0161ija modelio \u012fvertinim\u0105, ta\u010diau, kaip paai\u0161kinta pastaraisiais m\u0117nesiais (\u017er <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-us-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate-13-march-2024\/\">kovo m\u0117nesio analiz\u0117<\/a>Pavyzd\u017eiui), priemoka ir toliau ma\u017e\u0117ja.<\/p>\n<p>Kalbant apie kontekst\u0105, prad\u0117kime nuo lyginamojo kurso rinkoje: 10 met\u0173 pajamingumas vakar (rugpj\u016b\u010dio 14 d.) baig\u0117si ties 3,84%, o tai yra arti \u017eemiausio lygio per daugiau nei metus.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22664\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"990\" height=\"438\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024.png 990w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024-768x340.png 768w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.15aug2024-500x221.png 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nors dabar akivaizdu, CapitalSpectator.com yra daugiafunkcinis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate\/\">tikrosios vert\u0117s modelis<\/a> jau kur\u012f laik\u0105 prognozuoja, kad santykinai didelis skirtumas tarp rinkos kurso ir vidutinio modelio \u012fvertinimo susiaur\u0117s. Pagrindinis neapibr\u0117\u017etumas buvo ir i\u0161lieka: susiaur\u0117jimo mechanizmas. Ar kain\u0173 skirtumo skirtumas suma\u017e\u0117t\u0173 d\u0117l ma\u017eesn\u0117s rinkos pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos, did\u0117jan\u010dio modelio \u012fvertinimo arba abiej\u0173 derinio?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short2024-08-15.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22665\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short2024-08-15.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short2024-08-15.png 650w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short2024-08-15-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short2024-08-15-500x346.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Akivaizdu, kad didelis skirtumas, kaip ir buvo prognozuota, dar kart\u0105 pasirod\u0117 es\u0105s netvarus. Kaip ir ankstesniuose didel\u0117s rinkos priemokos etapuose, tam tikras normalizavimo laipsnis vyravo ir grei\u010diausiai i\u0161liks. \u0160\u012f kart\u0105 skirtumas yra tas, kad normalizavimas i\u0161lieka l\u0117tas, galb\u016bt d\u0117l \u200b\u200bu\u017esit\u0119susi\u0173 su pandemija susijusi\u0173 veiksni\u0173 sukelt\u0173 sm\u016bgi\u0173.<\/p>\n<p>Kad ir koks b\u016bt\u0173 paai\u0161kinimas, plitimas ir toliau ma\u017e\u0117ja. \u0160iandienos 2024 m. liepos m\u0117n. \u012fvertinimu, remiantis m\u0117nesio duomenimis, rinkos pal\u016bkan\u0173 norma yra 87 baziniais punktais didesn\u0117 u\u017e vidutin\u0119 tikr\u0105j\u0105 vert\u0119. Tai gerokai \u017eemiau \u0161io ciklo piko (152 baziniai ta\u0161kai 2023 m. spalio m\u0117n.) ir \u017eemiausia nuo kovo m\u0117nesio.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-08-15.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22666\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-08-15.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-08-15.png 650w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-08-15-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-08-15-500x346.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Apibendrinant galima pasakyti, kad kain\u0173 skirtumo priemoka ir toliau ma\u017e\u0117ja, nors ir palaipsniui, o kartais ir priepuoliais. Nepaisant pastarojo meto nuosmukio, skirtumas vis dar atrodo didelis, palyginti su istoriniais rekordais. Ta\u010diau remiantis istorija, galima pagr\u012fstai tik\u0117tis, kad vis dar didelis skirtumas tarp rinkos kurso ir vidutinio modelio \u012fvertinimo ateinan\u010diais m\u0117nesiais dar labiau ma\u017e\u0117s.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><i>I\u0161mokite naudoti R portfelio analizei <\/i><\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/1987583515\/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=1987583515&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;tag=bookscs-20&amp;linkId=020f71fb53a3e09903f46845853c189b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kiekybin\u0117 investicij\u0173 portfelio analiz\u0117 R:<br \/>R \u012fvadas, skirtas modeliuoti portfelio rizik\u0105 ir gr\u0105\u017e\u0105<\/a><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: none !important; margin: 0px !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/ir-na.amazon-adsystem.com\/e\/ir?t=bookscs-20&amp;l=am2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1987583515\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" border=\"0\"\/><\/strong><\/span><br \/>James Picerno<\/p>\n<hr\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-us-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate-15-august-2024\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Skirtumas tarp JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumo ir a \u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimas apskai\u010diavo CapitalSpectator.com, liep\u0105 toliau ma\u017e\u0117jo. Rinkos kursas vis dar gerokai vir\u0161ija modelio \u012fvertinim\u0105, ta\u010diau, kaip paai\u0161kinta pastaraisiais m\u0117nesiais (\u017er kovo m\u0117nesio analiz\u0117Pavyzd\u017eiui), priemoka ir toliau ma\u017e\u0117ja. Kalbant apie kontekst\u0105, prad\u0117kime nuo lyginamojo kurso rinkoje: 10 met\u0173 pajamingumas vakar (rugpj\u016b\u010dio 14 d.) baig\u0117si ties [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":274,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=273"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/274"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}