{"id":467,"date":"2024-09-12T15:47:41","date_gmt":"2024-09-12T15:47:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/12\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugsejo-12-d\/"},"modified":"2024-09-12T15:47:41","modified_gmt":"2024-09-12T15:47:41","slug":"10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugsejo-12-d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/12\/10-metu-jav-izdo-pajamingumo-tikroji-verte-ivertinimas-2024-m-rugsejo-12-d\/","title":{"rendered":"10 met\u0173 JAV i\u017edo pajamingumo \u201etikroji vert\u0117\u201c \u012fvertinimas: 2024 m. rugs\u0117jo 12 d."},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-22799\">&#13;<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header -->&#13;<br \/>\n&#13;<\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumo priemoka rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n. toliau ma\u017e\u0117jo, palyginti su \u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimu, pagr\u012fstu CapitalSpectator.com sukurtu modeliu. Rinkos kursas teb\u0117ra \u0161iek tiek didesnis u\u017e modelio \u012fvertinim\u0105, ta\u010diau, kaip ir tik\u0117tasi ankstesniais m\u0117nesiais (pvz., \u017er. kovo m\u0117nesio analiz\u0119), ne\u012fprastai didel\u0117 priemoka pagaliau pradeda normalizuotis.<\/p>\n<p>CapitalSpectator.com keli\u0173 faktori\u0173 tikrosios vert\u0117s modelis jau kur\u012f laik\u0105 prognozavo, kad santykinai platus skirtumas tarp rinkos kurso ir vidutinio modelio \u012fvertinimo susiaur\u0117s. Istorija rodo, kad ekstremal\u016bs nukrypimai nuo vidutinio tikrosios vert\u0117s \u012fver\u010dio ilgainiui gr\u012f\u017eta \u012f normal\u0173 diapazon\u0105, ty \u0161iek tiek vir\u0161ija arba yra \u017eemesn\u0117 u\u017e tikrosios vert\u0117s \u012fvert\u012f.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Pastaraisiais metais nuokrypis nuo tikrosios vert\u0117s buvo ne\u012fprastai didelis. Vienu metu 2023 m. pabaigoje rinkos priemoka pakilo iki 1\u20131\/2 procentinio punkto, palyginti su rinkos norma \u2013 did\u017eiausia per tris de\u0161imtme\u010dius. Tik\u0117tina, kad katalizatorius buvo su pandemija susij\u0119s infliacijos \u0161uolis, kuris \u012ftikino rink\u0105, kad infliacija i\u0161liks didesn\u0117 ilgiau. Ta\u010diau d\u0117l besit\u0119sian\u010dios dezinfliacijos 10 met\u0173 pajamingumo priemoka i\u0161bl\u0117so.<\/p>\n<p>Istorija rodo, kad nors kiekvieno ekonominio ciklo duomenys skiriasi, ekstremalios priemokos u\u017e pajamas ilgainiui normalizuojasi, net jei laikas yra labai neai\u0161kus. Dabartinis ciklas nesiskiria. Nors pastaruoju metu auk\u0161\u010diausios kokyb\u0117s \u0161uolis buvo gerokai didesnis nei vidutinis, tai nebuvo beprecedent\u0117. Rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n. priemoka smarkiai nukrito iki 46 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173, o tai dabar yra \u0161iek tiek ma\u017eesn\u0117 u\u017e vidutin\u012f nuokryp\u012f (76 baziniai punktai) nuo 1980 m.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22801\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-09-12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-09-12.png 650w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-09-12-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/ten.yr_.fair_.val_.all_.short_.sp2024-09-12-500x346.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Pana\u0161u, kad kain\u0173 skirtumo priemoka ateinan\u010diais m\u0117nesiais toliau ma\u017e\u0117s, nors did\u017eioji dalis normalizavimo tikriausiai jau atsiliko. Nepaisant to, auk\u0161\u010diausios kokyb\u0117s rekord\u0173 atosl\u016bgis ir srautas primena, kad n\u0117ra ne\u012fprasta, kad priemoka nukrenta \u012f neigiam\u0105 reljef\u0105 po pakilimo. Remiantis tuo, modeliavimas rodo, kad 10 met\u0173 derlius dar turi kur kristi. \u012esp\u0117jimas yra tas, kad pasitik\u0117jimo lygis, leid\u017eiantis tik\u0117tis tolesnio nuosmukio, suma\u017e\u0117jo dabar, kai auk\u0161\u010diausios kokyb\u0117s \u0161uo pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 ir smarkiai pasikeit\u0117.<br \/><!-- Image to display --><br \/><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 910px; height: auto;\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/gtKAouU.png\" alt=\"Paspaud\u017eiamas vaizdas\"\/><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content -->&#13;<br \/>\n\t\t&#13;<\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">James Picerno | <time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2024-09-12T07:43:47-04:00\">2024 m. rugs\u0117jo 12 d<\/time> \t\t\t\t\t\t | \t\t\t<span class=\"leave-reply\">komentuoti<\/span>\t\t\t\t\t\t<?php \/\/ edit_post_link( __( 'Edit', 'twentytwelve' ), '<span class=\"edit-link\"?>&#8216;, &#8221; ); ?><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->&#13;\n\t<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/10-year-us-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate-11-september-2024\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#13; &#13; &#13; JAV 10 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumo priemoka rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n. toliau ma\u017e\u0117jo, palyginti su \u201etikrosios vert\u0117s\u201c \u012fvertinimu, pagr\u012fstu CapitalSpectator.com sukurtu modeliu. Rinkos kursas teb\u0117ra \u0161iek tiek didesnis u\u017e modelio \u012fvertinim\u0105, ta\u010diau, kaip ir tik\u0117tasi ankstesniais m\u0117nesiais (pvz., \u017er. kovo m\u0117nesio analiz\u0119), ne\u012fprastai didel\u0117 priemoka pagaliau pradeda normalizuotis. CapitalSpectator.com keli\u0173 faktori\u0173 tikrosios vert\u0117s modelis jau [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":468,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[349,345,13,344,346,113,347,348],"class_list":["post-467","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-ivertinimas","tag-izdo","tag-jav","tag-metu","tag-pajamingumo","tag-rugsejo","tag-tikroji","tag-verte"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/467","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/467\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}