{"id":496,"date":"2024-09-16T15:56:48","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T15:56:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/16\/obligaciju-rinkoje-pries-fed-susitikima-vyrauja-stiprus-vejas\/"},"modified":"2024-09-16T15:56:48","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T15:56:48","slug":"obligaciju-rinkoje-pries-fed-susitikima-vyrauja-stiprus-vejas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/16\/obligaciju-rinkoje-pries-fed-susitikima-vyrauja-stiprus-vejas\/","title":{"rendered":"Obligacij\u0173 rinkoje prie\u0161 FED susitikim\u0105 vyrauja stiprus v\u0117jas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Tikimasi, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas \u0161i\u0105 savait\u0119 suma\u017eins pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas. Kyla klausimas, ar obligacij\u0173 rinka visi\u0161kai nustat\u0117 kainas politikos \u0161velninimo prad\u017eioje?<\/p>\n<p>Per\u017ei\u016br\u0117jus naujausius na\u0161umo duomenis kyla pagunda pasakyti \u201etaip\u201c. Iki \u0161iol visos pagrindin\u0117s JAV fiksuot\u0173 pajam\u0173 rink\u0173 kategorijos skelbia padid\u0117jim\u0105, remiantis ETF rinkiniu iki penktadienio u\u017edarymo (rugs\u0117jo 13 d.). Lyderis iki \u0161iol 2024 m.: junk obligacijos (JNK) su solid\u017eiu 7,1% avansu.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><\/figure>\n<p>Investicinio lygio JAV obligacij\u0173 (BND) lyginamasis indeksas 2024 m. yra 5,1 % didesnis. Nuo gegu\u017e\u0117s m\u0117nesio fondas i\u0161 esm\u0117s nuolat auga, tikriausiai paskatino did\u0117jantis pasitik\u0117jimas, kad centrinis bankas paskelbs apie pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einim\u0105 tre\u010diadien\u012f. , rugs\u0117jo 18 d.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"990\" height=\"438\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnd.16sep2024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22820\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnd.16sep2024.png 990w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnd.16sep2024-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnd.16sep2024-768x340.png 768w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/bnd.16sep2024-500x221.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>Nevaldom\u0173 obligacij\u0173 ralis (JNK) buvo dar stipresnis ir nuoseklesnis ilgiau. Prie\u0161ingai nei plati investicij\u0173 lygio rinka (BND), kuri \u0161iuo metu yra auk\u0161\u010diausia per dvejus metus, JNK ralis nust\u016bm\u0117 j\u012f \u012f rekordi\u0161kai auk\u0161t\u0105 reljef\u0105.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"990\" height=\"438\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/jnk.16sep2024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22821\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/jnk.16sep2024.png 990w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/jnk.16sep2024-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/jnk.16sep2024-768x340.png 768w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/jnk.16sep2024-500x221.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\"\/><\/figure>\n<p>Pagrindin\u0117s diskusijos apie tai, kaip obligacijas seksis ateinan\u010diomis savait\u0117mis ir m\u0117nesiais, yra susijusios su JAV ekonomikos l\u016bkes\u010diais. Jei vyraus vadinamasis \u0161velnus nusileidimas \u2013 l\u0117tesnis, bet vis tiek teigiamas augimas \u2013 didesnio pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 k\u0117limo reikalas gali b\u016bti nutildytas. Prie\u0161ingai, jei ekonomika yra silpnesn\u0117, nei mano optimistai, tik\u0117tinas kelias \u012f priek\u012f gali b\u016bti ilgesnis pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimo laikotarpis sul\u010di\u0173 augimui, o tokiu atveju obligacij\u0173 kainoms vis tiek gali kilti.<\/p>\n<p>Rytoj (antradien\u012f, rugs\u0117jo 17 d.) numatyta pagrindin\u0117 ekonomin\u0117 ataskaita (ma\u017emenin\u0117 prekyba) bus atid\u017eiai perskaityta prie\u0161 kit\u0105 dien\u0105 paskelbt\u0105 FED politik\u0105. Remiantis Econoday.com konsensuso ta\u0161ko prognoze, ekonomistai laukia m\u0117nesinio i\u0161laid\u0173 suma\u017e\u0117jimo rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n.<\/p>\n<p>\u201ePakankamai silpni ma\u017emeniniai pardavimai antradien\u012f gali priversti FED suma\u017einti 50 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173\u201c, \u2013 sako \u201eCiti\u201c vyriausiasis ekonomistas Andrew Hollenhorstas.<\/p>\n<p>Fed fond\u0173 ateities sandori\u0173 rinka \u0161\u012fryt nustato 59% tikimyb\u0119, kad bus suma\u017einta 50 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173, palyginti su 41% tikimybe, kad bus suma\u017einta 25 baziniais punktais.\n<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><i>I\u0161mokite naudoti R portfelio analizei <\/i><\/span><br \/><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Kiekybin\u0117 investicij\u0173 portfelio analiz\u0117 R:<br \/>R \u012fvadas, skirtas modeliuoti portfelio rizik\u0105 ir gr\u0105\u017e\u0105<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: none !important; margin: 0px !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/ir-na.amazon-adsystem.com\/e\/ir?t=bookscs-20&amp;l=am2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1987583515\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" border=\"0\"\/><\/strong><\/span><br \/>James Picerno<\/p>\n<hr\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/bond-market-enjoys-solid-tailwind-ahead-of-fed-meeting\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tikimasi, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas \u0161i\u0105 savait\u0119 suma\u017eins pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas. Kyla klausimas, ar obligacij\u0173 rinka visi\u0161kai nustat\u0117 kainas politikos \u0161velninimo prad\u017eioje? Per\u017ei\u016br\u0117jus naujausius na\u0161umo duomenis kyla pagunda pasakyti \u201etaip\u201c. Iki \u0161iol visos pagrindin\u0117s JAV fiksuot\u0173 pajam\u0173 rink\u0173 kategorijos skelbia padid\u0117jim\u0105, remiantis ETF rinkiniu iki penktadienio u\u017edarymo (rugs\u0117jo 13 d.). Lyderis iki \u0161iol 2024 m.: junk [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":497,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[427,425,119,426,430,428,431,429],"class_list":["post-496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-fed","tag-obligaciju","tag-pries","tag-rinkoje","tag-stiprus","tag-susitikima","tag-vejas","tag-vyrauja"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=496"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}