{"id":526,"date":"2024-09-20T16:20:10","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T16:20:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/20\/dabartines-bvp-prognozes-vis-dar-rodo-maza-jav-nuosmukio-rizika-treciaji-ketvirti\/"},"modified":"2024-09-20T16:20:10","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T16:20:10","slug":"dabartines-bvp-prognozes-vis-dar-rodo-maza-jav-nuosmukio-rizika-treciaji-ketvirti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/09\/20\/dabartines-bvp-prognozes-vis-dar-rodo-maza-jav-nuosmukio-rizika-treciaji-ketvirti\/","title":{"rendered":"Dabartin\u0117s BVP prognoz\u0117s vis dar rodo ma\u017e\u0105 JAV nuosmukio rizik\u0105 tre\u010di\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>JAV ekonomin\u0117 veikla teb\u0117ra tinkama ir fiksuoja \u0161velnesn\u012f, bet vis dar tvirt\u0105 augimo temp\u0105 kito m\u0117nesio oficialioje tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio BVP ataskaitoje. Analiz\u0117 pagr\u012fsta keli\u0173 CapitalSpectator.com sudaryt\u0173 \u012fver\u010di\u0173 mediana.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160iandienos per\u017ei\u016br\u0117tas vidutinis \u012fvertis pasiek\u0117 2,6 % reali\u0105 metin\u0119 III ketvir\u010dio norm\u0105. Tai \u0161iek tiek didesnis nei ankstesnis tre\u010diasis ketvirtis, paskelbtas rugs\u0117jo 13 d. Antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f Ekonomin\u0117s analiz\u0117s biuras prane\u0161a, kad produkcija i\u0161augo 3,0%. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><\/figure>\n<p>Nepaisant kai kuri\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 persp\u0117jim\u0173 pastaraisiais m\u0117nesiais, kad JAV nuosmukis nei\u0161vengiamas arba jau prasid\u0117j\u0119s, platus duomen\u0173 skaitymas nuosekliai rodo prie\u0161ingai. Pavyzd\u017eiui, rugpj\u016b\u010dio pabaigoje CapitalSpectator.com prane\u0161\u0117, kad tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio recesijos rizika i\u0161liko ma\u017ea. Prie\u0161 kelias savaites \u0161iuose puslapiuose prane\u0161iau, kad \u201ePaskutiniai ekonominiai duomenys rodo, kad JAV pl\u0117tra t\u0119sis\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Nors atrodo, kad ekonomika vis labiau i\u0161vengs NBER apibr\u0117\u017eto nuosmukio tre\u010di\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f, paskutinis met\u0173 ketvirtis ir v\u0117liau gali atne\u0161ti stipresni\u0173 prie\u0161ing\u0173 v\u0117j\u0173. Analitikams, ie\u0161kantiems prie\u017eas\u010di\u0173 nerimauti, vakaryk\u0161t\u0117 JAV pagrindinio ekonomikos rodiklio rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n. ataskaita yra trumpajame s\u0105ra\u0161e. Konferencij\u0173 valdyba prane\u0161a, kad \u0161is rodiklis pra\u0117jus\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f nukrito iki \u017eemiausio lygio nuo 2016 m. spalio m\u0117n.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eApskritai LEI ir toliau rod\u0117 prie\u0161prie\u0161in\u012f v\u0117j\u0105 b\u016bsimam ekonomikos augimui\u201c, \u2013 sako Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, konsultacin\u0117s \u012fmon\u0117s analitik\u0117. \u201eKonferencijos valdyba tikisi, kad JAV realaus BVP augimas antr\u0105j\u012f \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 pusmet\u012f suma\u017e\u0117s, nes auk\u0161tesn\u0117s kainos, padid\u0117jusios pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos ir did\u0117janti skola ma\u017eina vidaus paklaus\u0105.<\/p>\n<p>Ta\u010diau atkreipkite d\u0117mes\u012f, kad LEI jau kur\u012f laik\u0105 skelbia \u012fsp\u0117jimus apie recesij\u0105 \u2013 \u012fsp\u0117jimus, kurie iki \u0161iol buvo, \u0161velniai tariant, per anksti. Pavyzd\u017eiui, vasario m\u0117nes\u012f CapitalSpecgtator.com pa\u017eym\u0117jo, kad LEI \u201ejau daugiau nei metus signalizuoja apie JAV nuosmuk\u012f, ta\u010diau ekonomika toliau pl\u0117t\u0117si\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Po septyni\u0173 m\u0117nesi\u0173 LEI vis dar prognozuoja recesij\u0105. Tai gali b\u016bti teisinga\u2026 galiausiai. Tuo tarpu toliau kaupiasi \u012frodymai, kad vargu ar tre\u010diasis ketvirtis \u017eym\u0117s nuosmukio prad\u017ei\u0105.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i>Kaip vystosi recesijos rizika? Steb\u0117kite perspektyvas u\u017esiprenumerav\u0119:<\/i><br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>JAV verslo ciklo rizikos ataskaita<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<hr\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/gdp-nowcasts-still-indicate-low-recession-risk-for-us-in-q3\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>JAV ekonomin\u0117 veikla teb\u0117ra tinkama ir fiksuoja \u0161velnesn\u012f, bet vis dar tvirt\u0105 augimo temp\u0105 kito m\u0117nesio oficialioje tre\u010diojo ketvir\u010dio BVP ataskaitoje. Analiz\u0117 pagr\u012fsta keli\u0173 CapitalSpectator.com sudaryt\u0173 \u012fver\u010di\u0173 mediana. \u0160iandienos per\u017ei\u016br\u0117tas vidutinis \u012fvertis pasiek\u0117 2,6 % reali\u0105 metin\u0119 III ketvir\u010dio norm\u0105. Tai \u0161iek tiek didesnis nei ankstesnis tre\u010diasis ketvirtis, paskelbtas rugs\u0117jo 13 d. Antr\u0105j\u012f ketvirt\u012f Ekonomin\u0117s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":527,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,521,17,13,481,18,478,174,15,522,480,16],"class_list":["post-526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste","tag-bvp","tag-dabartines","tag-dar","tag-jav","tag-ketvirti","tag-maza","tag-nuosmukio","tag-prognozes","tag-rizika","tag-rodo","tag-treciaji","tag-vis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/526\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}