{"id":57,"date":"2024-07-16T08:52:36","date_gmt":"2024-07-16T08:52:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/07\/16\/rinkos-isitikinusios-kad-palukanu-normos-bus-mazinamos-rugseji\/"},"modified":"2024-07-16T08:52:36","modified_gmt":"2024-07-16T08:52:36","slug":"rinkos-isitikinusios-kad-palukanu-normos-bus-mazinamos-rugseji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/2024\/07\/16\/rinkos-isitikinusios-kad-palukanu-normos-bus-mazinamos-rugseji\/","title":{"rendered":"Rinkos \u012fsitikinusios, kad pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos bus ma\u017einamos rugs\u0117j\u012f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Mes \u010dia buvome anks\u010diau.  Rinkose yra didel\u0117 tikimyb\u0117, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas netrukus prad\u0117s ma\u017einti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, kad su\u017einot\u0173 kitaip.  Ar \u0161is kartas kitoks?  Tai statymas&#8230; v\u0117l.<\/p>\n<p>Be abejo, yra keletas \u012ftikinam\u0173 prie\u017eas\u010di\u0173 manyti, kad pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimas yra arti.  Kitas <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/inflation-falls-in-june-for-first-time-since-2020-as-consumer-price-increases-continue-to-slow-123243293.html\">padr\u0105sinan\u010di\u0105 infliacijos ataskait\u0105<\/a> padeda. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/is-the-us-economy-flirting-with-recession\/\">\u017denklai<\/a> tai, kad JAV ekonomika l\u0117t\u0117ja, yra dar vienas veiksnys, kuris palaiko ni\u016bri\u0105 pinig\u0173 politikos krypt\u012f.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">Fed fond\u0173 ateities sandoriai<\/a> Dabar yra didel\u0117 tikimyb\u0117 (90 % plius), kad centrinis bankas prad\u0117s ma\u017einti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas rugs\u0117jo 18 d. FOMC politikos susitikime.  Tai smarkiai pakilo nuo a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/markets-continue-to-expect-rate-cuts-after-fed-chairs-comments\/\">apytiksliai 65% tikimyb\u0117, liepos 3 d.<\/a> (Tuo tarpu kitame susitikime liepos 31 d. suma\u017einimas nenumatomas.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ff.futures.probs_.2024-07-15.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22491\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ff.futures.probs_.2024-07-15.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ff.futures.probs_.2024-07-15.png 600w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ff.futures.probs_.2024-07-15-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/ff.futures.probs_.2024-07-15-500x375.png 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Politikai jautrus JAV 2 met\u0173 i\u017edo pajamingumas taip pat nustato \u0161velnesn\u0119 FED tikslin\u0119 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0105.  Penktadien\u012f \u0161is pagrindinis terminas nukrito iki 4,19%, \u017eemiausio nuo kovo pabaigos, o tai yra daugiau nei 100 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173 \u017eemiau dabartin\u0117s 5,25\u20135,50% FED fond\u0173 tikslin\u0117s ribos.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22492\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"990\" height=\"438\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024.png 990w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024-300x133.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024-768x340.png 768w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/twoyr.15jul2024-500x221.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Tuo tarpu a <a href=\"https:\/\/macro-markets.com\/f\/is-the-fed-risking-a-recession-by-not-cutting-interest-rates\">Fed fond\u0173 modelis<\/a> Suk\u016briau TMC Research taip pat nurodo ma\u017eesn\u0119 tikslin\u0119 norm\u0105.  Remiantis duomenimis iki liepos 8 d., \u0161is modelis apskai\u010diavo, kad optimali tikslin\u0117 norma yra ma\u017edaug 4,75%, o tai rodo, kad 50 bazini\u0173 punkt\u0173 suma\u017einimas yra optimalus.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/fed.model_-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-22460\" src=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/fed.model_-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/fed.model_-1.png 600w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/fed.model_-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/fed.model_-1-500x375.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Svarbi ekonomikos ataskaita \u0161i\u0105 savait\u0119 bus pla\u010diai skaitoma, kad gaut\u0173 nauj\u0173 u\u017euomin\u0173 apie pinig\u0173 politikos perspektyvas: rytojaus JAV ma\u017emenin\u0117s prekybos ataskaita u\u017e bir\u017eelio m\u0117nes\u012f (antradien\u012f, liepos 16 d.).  Remiantis Econoday.com apklausos duomenimis, ekonomistai tikisi, kad i\u0161laidos bus \u0161iek tiek neigiamos, palyginti su m\u0117nesiu.<\/p>\n<p>Jei tai teisinga, silpni ma\u017emenin\u0117s prekybos duomenys suteiks daugiau \u012frodym\u0173, kad pastaruoju metu vartotoj\u0173 i\u0161laid\u0173 sul\u0117t\u0117jimas t\u0119siasi, o tai savo ruo\u017etu patvirtins minios nuomon\u0119, kad artimiausiu metu pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos bus ma\u017einamos.<\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i>Kaip vystosi recesijos rizika?  Steb\u0117kite perspektyvas u\u017esiprenumerav\u0119:<\/i><br \/><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><a style=\"color: #ff0000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/premium-research\/\"><strong>JAV verslo ciklo rizikos ataskaita<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<hr\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitalspectator.com\/markets-confident-that-rate-cuts-will-start-in-september\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mes \u010dia buvome anks\u010diau. Rinkose yra didel\u0117 tikimyb\u0117, kad Federalinis rezerv\u0173 bankas netrukus prad\u0117s ma\u017einti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, kad su\u017einot\u0173 kitaip. Ar \u0161is kartas kitoks? Tai statymas&#8230; v\u0117l. Be abejo, yra keletas \u012ftikinam\u0173 prie\u017eas\u010di\u0173 manyti, kad pal\u016bkan\u0173 ma\u017einimas yra arti. Kitas padr\u0105sinan\u010di\u0105 infliacijos ataskait\u0105 padeda. \u017denklai tai, kad JAV ekonomika l\u0117t\u0117ja, yra dar vienas veiksnys, kuris [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":58,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika-finansai-bankininkyste"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/europaskolos.lt\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}